2011 in Review, Five Star Real Estate Agent Award, and What the Market’s got in Store for 2012

Learn from yesterday, live for today, hope for tomorrow.” – Albert Einstein

And here in Sarasota I’m pleased to say there is much to learn from the market in 2011, much to enjoy about living the Sarasota lifestyle right now, and plenty of positive indicators for a great 2012.

The Hot Niche Proved Itself, As Predicted

Today’s video couldn’t be a better example of just how fabulous Sarasota living can be. We filmed from the back yard of one of my newest listings, a spectacular 6 bedroom, 6 ½ bathrooms and almost 6500 square feet property in a dream location right on the beach here on Siesta Key.

This property is just one example of the luxury market in Sarasota, which, as I wrote about at the end of Q1, has proved itself the hot niche in which to achieve value this year. And as we enter 2012 that still holds true: the luxury market has the most value available for buyers with a little more than two years of inventory.

Luxury Property is Changing Hands

One of the segments I specialize in is Gulf-front luxury living and in the past week four of those properties went under contract. They were listed from $2.9m to $7.8m. This is another validation that people are comfortable with making a significant financial investment in Sarasota.

But if there was one thing the market was also full of this year, it was speculation. The rumor mills were in full swing, and the peoples’ impressions of the market were somewhat volatile. Let’s look at what really happened.

So, The Real Facts for 2011:

• The number of properties sold increased by 6.6% from 2010. Over 9500 properties changed hands. This is a very healthy number. I would like to see a number in this range for 2012.

• Distressed sales made up 37% of the total market. This was down from 2010 (which is a good thing). In fact there were 5 ½ % fewer distressed sales. It would be great for this trend to continue as well.

• Historically, one of the selling points of Sarasota has been its affordability. More than 2/3 of all properties sold are listed under $200,000.

Overall it’s been a great, steady year in the Sarasota real estate market, and exactly what was needed after the tumultuous preceding couple of years. There was a lot of panic and hysteria in every facet of the media this year, but the facts speak for themselves and I am extremely positive going forward into 2012.

Educated, Engaged and Active Buyers

I am also buoyed by the interest level of buyers educating themselves about Sarasota and the market, so they’re ready to purchase when a good lifestyle match comes on the market.

As I wrote about in August, the market can be a fishy business and after drastic re-pricing and drastic reversal, the Sarasota real estate market does now offer some good buys, but buyers have to be sharp, well-informed and ready to move fast when that perfect property comes along.

Sarasota Lifestyle On the Up

Finally, like many communities in the United States Sarasota has felt the effect of the housing market and economic downturn. However, while the sunsets are still magnificent, the community is even better today than it was 5 years ago.

As I wrote about in September - despite fear mongering – Sarasota lifestyle is definitely on the up. There are better restaurants, more parks, and I believe that the quality of life has improved. All the more reason to start living in Sarasota today.

sarasota realtors lee mirman
And I’m also delighted to announce that I’ve been honored with the Sarasota Magazine’s Five Star Real Estate Agent Award for 2012. I’m so pleased to receive this accolade, along with all the other great service professionals doing awesome work in Sarasota. I love my work, and it’s a joy to be able to help so many people find their dream Sarasota Investment property.

Q3 2011 in the Sarasota Real Estate Market, and Cougar Town Comes to SRQ

Today, we filmed the video below at the site of one of my listings. Next week the scene there will be very different, as a crew from Courtney Cox’s ABC television show, Cougar Town, will be there on location filming!

Fall in Sarasota, Rise in the Property Market

It’s October in Sarasota and that means cooler breezes and open windows. It also means it’s time to look back and see what’s happened during the third quarter 2011. There are two very apparent trends: first, properties are coming on the market, and going to contract, very very quickly.

This is because there are a lot of buyers in the market, and they’ve been here for a while. They’re doing a lot of research and due diligence, and when a good match comes to market they’re moving forward fast. A few weeks ago I represented a buyer in a transaction, and within 48 hours, there were multiple offers on the property. All of them were over the listing price.

Sarasota Real Estate Market: Good News All Round

Lee Mirman Sarasota Realtor discusses Q3 2011 Sarasota Real Estate MarketThe second noticeable trend is that properties which have been marinating on the market for quite some time are also going to contract even closing. For most, the selling price is actually very close to the asking price, which would be a contraindication for the time it spent on the market

The three big statistics I have for this quarter are:
• Sales are up 13% compared to the same period in 2010.
• Distressed sales have actually gone down 4 quarters in a row, they now make up 37% of the market.
• Inventory of luxury homes edged up slightly to 21 months, this is down significantly on the past several years, but actually up slightly on the previous quarter.

Overall, as I’ve said previously, there are a lot of buyers on the market. They’re active, they’re searching out areas, so when they right match comes on the market they’re moving forward very, very, quickly. I for one am delighted to see so many people getting the result they want.

Hold Off on the Panic Button. Despite Fear-mongering, Sarasota Lifestyle is on the Up

When written in Chinese, the word ‘crisis’ is composed of two characters–one represents danger, and the other represents opportunity. ~ John F. Kennedy

The financial crisis of the last few years has offered some incredible opportunities to revaluate our priorities, and I’ve seen this played out in our Sarasota community. While people may not have been able to choose the external financial climate, they have been able to choose how they respond to it. And many peoples’ responses have been to make changes for the better, whether in health, real estate or any other area of their lives. View my video below for my take on lessons from the last couple years:

But despite improvement in the property market, the job market, and the lowest interest rates in sixty years, negative thinking still abounds. I read a headline this week that, despite figures to the contrary, peoples’ perception is that we’re in another recession.

In today’s instant gratification, media driven, sensationalist world, we are often making decisions based on hearsay and rumors when in fact the numbers say something different.

Happiness

“It’s not what you look at that matters, it’s what you see.”~ Henry David Thoreau

My own local perception is that there seem to be more people out and about (and spending money) than last year. So I decided to ask three local businesses to get some real information about how their numbers look in comparison to 2010.

Our favourite grocery store:
Numbers are up, sales are up. They’re not sure exactly why, but customers seem happier and in a better place.

In one of our favourite local restaurants:
Sales are about the same level as this time last year. The regulars are still regulars and still place the same orders. Revenue has increased from new streams including outside catering.

At the dentist:
Patients are showing up for their regular cleanings, however some are putting off bigger ticket items like fillings, and crowns. While their practice is growing there are patients that have left Sarasota because of a better job market elsewhere.

Just from this anecdotal information from a cross section of local businesses, it can be concluded that things are stable if not improving.

What Does That Mean for the Real Estate Market Here?

It remains difficult to make a bold generalization about Sarasota’s economy, but there are steady date points to support that it is improving as is the real estate market.

Chinese wisdom and JFK notwithstanding, the best conclusions must be made based on what is right for you and your family in the present, and opportunities chosen accordingly. One thing the last few years has certainly given me the opportunity to reflect on is that — crisis or no crisis — quality of life is ultimately the most important thing.

How the Sarasota Real Estate Market Can be a Fishy Business…

Six years ago, Sarasota had the distinction of being called one of the most overvalued communities in America. Now, after tremendous repricing and dramatic reversal, our community is is known as one of the best real estate values in the United States.

To better understand this shift I want to use the analogy of a fish tank, a large beautiful fish tank. And let’s call that fish tank, Sarasota.

What’s the Fish Food in the Sarasota Property Marketplace?

The fish are buyers and fish food is properties for sale. Just a couple short years ago, when new fish food was put into the tank, the tastiest morsels would be gobbled up swiftly. And because there were not that many fish, the majority of the food settled to the bottom. Those that were willing to go down that far, and wait and be patient, were treated to some great finds.

It’s a Feeding Frenzy Out There in the Sarasota Investment Property Market

However word got out, and because it’s a great big beautiful fish tank, fish came from far and wide and increased their numbers in abundance. In addition, with more fish in the tank, their feeding has become much more aggressive.

Today’s buyer doesn’t have the same luxury of a couple years ago: properties are not making it to the bottom as much as they have in the past. And those that do have larger trade offs, such as location and condition of the property.

What That Means for the Daily Diet of Sarasota Real Estate

Today’s buyer has to determine: with so many fish in the market, are they ready to find something and  purchase it for a reasonable price, or do they prefer to wait and see what happens in the future? In my opinion, it’s better to have a full belly. In other words: choose your meals wisely, but don’t be afraid to snap up some good food and start enjoying Sarasota living.

What is my Sign to Buy? – Indicators from the 2010 Sarasota Real Estate Market and the Transitional Start to 2011

I see 2011 as a transition year for real estate in Sarasota. I meet a lot of buyers in the market via my open houses in Sarasota. This gives me great insight into the needs and wants of today’s buyer: three bedrooms, a garage space, and ability to have dogs, to name a few.

There are Keen Buyers in the Sarasota Real Estate Market

First, there are a lot of buyers. I’ve found where, in the past, people attending open houses tended to be more in an exploratory mode, lately I am meeting many individuals who are genuinely earnest about purchasing in the immediate future. In other words: the market has some very active and engaged buyers.

I believe more than 90% of the people coming to open houses really do think they want to buy within the year. However, most of today’s buyers have the ability to purchase now, they’re just waiting for a sign that the time is right. They may be hesitating because they just don’t know what that sign is.

To help people clarify, I’ve summarized the main signs we got from the Sarasota market this past year, and give my predictions of what those signs mean for 2011.

What Happened in the Sarasota Real Estate Market in 2010?

• In 2010 Sarasota was a recovering market, and in all, the year was good one for Sarasota real estate. The number of properties sold was up 8%, from 2009, to roughly 8925. I believe that a level of around 9000 is a good target for 2011. This number is a healthy 50% higher than the average volume from each year between 2006-2008.
• The raw number of distressed sales shrunk, and continues to do so, and discounts on distressed inventory are also decreasing. Distressed sales are down 10% from the Q3 to Q4 in 2010 but still made up more than 40% of sales in the 4th quarter.
• While local employment numbers remained steady, between 87.5 and 89%, the overall health of the community seems palpable. Municipal projects are getting done, including: parks, parking garages, beautification projects. And people are attending events in healthy numbers.
• The number of sales for Sarasota investment properties listed over $1 million edged up slightly during the 4th quarter of 2010 and the percentage of sales under $200,000 went down slightly. During the 4th quarter 66% of the market was under $200,000 and 91% of the market are sales of $500,000 or less.

What this means for 2011 in the Sarasota Real Estate Market

In my opinion, good values will stay with us for awhile as the market stabilizes this year. The market for properties over $1 million is experiencing inventory growth and offers some opportunities for those at this tier of the buyer’s market. But, there is still some great value to be achieved in the rest of the market too, even though the best opportunities may be behind us.

Again, buyers I meet have lots of information. The majority believe it is a really good time to make a purchase. Many are just waiting for a sign to determine when they actually make the leap. Now, in this transitioning market, I agree with them that it’s a good time to become a buyer.

Like the stock market, there are numerous opinions on the real estate market. I think, while there will continue to be volatility here in Sarasota, closings in 2011 will be around the 2010 number of 9000. I also believe, more importantly for many, this next purchase decision is a lifestyle choice and those that move forward this year will be glad they did.

Philanthropy: A Vital Underpinning of Sarasotas Attraction and Allure

philanthropy (fĭ-lān’thrə-pē)
1. altruistic concern for human welfare and advancement,
2. an activity performed with the goal of promoting the well-being of fellow man.

This weekend my wife and I enjoyed our first live opera, right here in Sarasota. It was Verdi’s version of Joan of Arc. As we sat inside the beautiful, newly-renovated opera house, I reflected upon the immense amount of philanthropy that enabled us to have such an experience in this relatively small community.

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Why Continued Investment in Sarasota Schools is Critical to the Sarasota Real Estate Market

“An investment in knowledge always pays the best interest” -Benjamin Franklin

There are no two ways about it: investment in education is a winner from any angle but it’s particularly critical to the real estate market. As one of the community of Sarasota realtors, in my real estate business I see firsthand the value good schools add to Sarasota investment property prices, and the positive impact that has on communities as a whole. [Read more...]